Sam Dunn, freelance money writer for Confused.com and national newspapers, shares his views on inflation and how you don’t have to let it get the better of you.
When the price of everyday goods rises faster than income or savings interest can grow, it can have a drastic effect on your personal finances. In particular, it can wallop the retired, who rely on a fixed monthly pension and - since they’re no longer working - can’t try to lick it by earning more.
Many struggling families and workers will also have groaned at last week’s revelation that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) cost of living edged up from 3.7 per cent to 4 per cent in January - the highest annual inflation rate in more than two years and double the target in the Bank of England crosshairs.
It’s easy to see why: petrol is now at £1.27 a litre (a record high); car insurance is up by 29 per cent over the past 12 months; transport costs have risen by 7.7 per cent; food and non-alcoholic drink have gone up 6.3 per cent (soft drinks bubbling up a startling 12.1 per cent); and bills for dining out or hotel visits are up 4.5 per cent.This general picture of a national average is invaluable to all manner of policymakers, investors, savers and speculators – yet its relevance to great chunks of the population is harder to pin down.
We all live very different lives, buying goods and paying for services that suit our own lifestyles, income and tastes – and for many the national average may as well be from a different country.
The statisticians calculate inflation using a “basket of goods” that regularly changes content as it tries to reflect our national spending habits. Its considerable size helps it cover plenty of all-encompassing factors – food, travel, fuel bills, alcohol etc – as well as a cornucopia of other, less commonly bought, items to create a decent overall picture.
From the price of a small pet hamster (classified under “recreational items”) to the cost of getting your busted home PC repaired (audio-visual), charge for home removals (transport) and night-club admission (cultural services), the detail is mind-boggling.
To move with the times, contemporary items recently introduced for price comparison include Blu-ray movie discs, bottles of mineral water, powdered baby formula and cereal bars. Of course, not everything is afforded the same space in the basket: an appropriate weighting is calculated and then fed into the inflation machine to spit out the monthly update. However, the upshot is that inflation is a hideously complex beast – and the 4 per cent CPI figure is, for millions, either a basic guide at best or, at worst, hopelessly off course.
There will be plenty who cycle instead of use a car, rarely use public transport, hardly ever eat out and would shudder at the idea of chugging fizzy drinks – their own inflation rate is likely to be considerably lower than that of fellow Britons who do the opposite.
Similarly, older Britons and the retired will be hit by 1.4 per cent fuel price inflation but less likely to be clobbered by the 3.5 per cent in mobile phone costs; ditto students noticing 6.7 per cent alcohol and ciggy (I generalise horribly) inflation won’t largely feel the huge 29 per cent motor insurance and 3 per cent new car inflation.
For many, the solution is to use the national average as a prompt to instead take control – where you can – of your own inflation.
First, try a personal inflation calculator by filling in your spending details at either the official ONS site and try the Confused.com cost of living calculator with tips on keeping your spend down. Be prepared for a shock; you could find it may be much worse than the national 4 per cent.
More importantly, though, you can then put one over on CPI by ensuring you bag the cheapest prices on as much of your daily spend as possible. Keep a lid on your own inflation by outsmarting retailers and services at every turn, whether for example it’s “downshifting” a supermarket shop; using price comparison sites and haggling for car/home/travel insurance; switching to online gas/electricity tariffs; or picking a bundled TV/landline/broadband deal instead of separates.
When you're in charge of keeping a lid on price rises, inflation doesn't have to be such a thug.
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